Crackerjack Greenback Prudent Advice for a Prosperous Future

December 12, 2008

Who Actually Believes in Index Fund Investing and Other Boring Investment Ideas?

Filed under: Investing,Retirement Planning — Paul Williams @ Crackerjack Greenback @ 4:00 am

       Diversification, index funds, low expenses, tax efficiency…they’re all so boring. Isn’t there a better way? Can’t I use research, insight, intuition, and intelligence to beat the market? Who actually believes this boring stuff anyway?

       The guy in the fancy suit on TV doesn’t seem to believe it. The writers of financial publications are constantly telling us which funds are going to be hot this year, or month, or week. There are millions of investment ideas on the Internet which include all kinds of fancy charts and systems and fantastic results. It doesn’t seem like anyone believes in index fund investing and boring ideas like diversification. Everyone seems to have some secret for how they’re going to beat the market, so why shouldn’t you as well?!

Look Who’s Talking

       Before you begin to think that index fund investing is only for schmucks, let’s take a minute to look at who supports these various investment ideals. First, the side of active management, market timing, and various other strategies to “beat the market”:

  • Stock Brokers and Investment Managers – For a fee or commission (or both!), these guys will help you pick the “right” funds or stocks at the “right” time so you get nice returns every single year. They’ll even send you a gift card or free sports tickets every once in a while just to show you how much they appreciate you!
  • Some Mutual Fund Companies – Sure they charge higher expenses than Vanguard does, but they’re giving you access to the “best” mutual fund managers in the world. With their team of 5,208 researchers, they’re bound to uncover information that will give them the ability to beat the market. And don’t forget about those mutual fund companies with a long family background of managers. All that experience is sure to come in handy.
  • Market Timing & Stock Picking Newsletters – In the do-it-yourself mood? Just subscribe to one of the many market timing or stock picking newsletters, and Slick Sam will tell you exactly when you should get in and out of which stocks. He might even set you up with a service where his recommendations can be traded automatically in your brokerage account. You don’t even have to do a thing and you’ll make a 389% return in a matter of months!
  • The Investment and Financial Media – Dow drops 600 points! Stock futures headed down this morning because the commissioner has a cold! Is your portfolio safe? Ah, the financial media. They constantly keep us up-to-date on the latest market news and even give us advice about the next top mutual funds. All we have to do is keep watching their shows or buying their newspapers and magazines and we can reap the benefits of all their knowledge.

       Do you see what I see? Every single one of these players has a vested interest in selling you something—especially in selling it to you again, and again, and again. My father once told me everyone has something to sell, and he’s right. Even the most objective advisor has to get paid somehow. But we have to look carefully at the seller’s motives before we buy—more so when the product is financial advice.

       Now what about the side of index fund investing, diversification, low expenses, and tax efficiency? Let’s look at the supporters of these really boring investment ideas:

       What do you notice in this group? A few less marketing gurus and a few more academics? So whose advice are you going to trust for the future of your retirement? A fast-talking salesman who rushes through the facts, or a research-driven Nobel Laureate whose life has been dedicated to teaching?

I know who I’m going with.

4 Comments »

  1. I cannot begin to tell you how much I thoroughly enjoyed this article. I have to admit that I’m biased heavily towards conservative, practical, and dare I say it, “boring” investment approaches, but you really emphasized the point that boring isn’t always a bad thing – especially when it comes to building wealth. Kudos to you.

    As an aside, I should mention that I stumbled upon your blog during a visit at tipd.com and after reading through a few posts, I not only subscribed to your feed, but also added you to my blogroll.

    Looking forward to future posts!

    Comment by Jimmy @ Wealth Is Boring — December 12, 2008 @ 4:32 pm

  2. Thanks, Jimmy, for your comments. I’m glad you enjoyed the post! I’m pretty biased to the boring stuff myself, but it works and it’s backed by some smart people.

    Thanks for subscribing and adding me to your blogroll. I’ve subscribed to your RSS feed and will be reading to get a feel for your blog. I like what I’ve seen so far.

    P.S. Congrats on getting engaged! I just got engaged in August, and we had our first premarital counseling session tonight. It’s very exciting!! Best wishes!!!

    Comment by Paul Williams @ Crackerjack Greenback — December 13, 2008 @ 12:02 am

  3. Paul, I apologize for hijacking the conversation here, but I just had to follow up with you regarding our engagements. First of all, congratulations to you as well! Like you said, neither of us could be more excited and I can honestly say that I’ve never been happier in my entire life…it almost makes me feel guilty! I’ve often found myself holding back from sharing all the related details/stories with friends and family because I don’t want to be perceived as “bragging”. Have you ever felt that way?

    Secondly, I’d love to read your thoughts on premarital counseling. Perhaps that’s a topic for another post? I (halfway) jokingly told my fiancee shortly after I popped the question that premarital counseling was a precondition of us tying the knot. Luckily, she was on the same page and I’m going to seek out a provider here in the next few months.

    Comment by Jimmy @ Wealth Is Boring — December 13, 2008 @ 4:46 am

  4. That’s quite alright, Jimmy. Thanks for the congratulations! I never felt like I had to hold back from telling friends or family. I don’t know if most people would look at it as bragging…unless you have a friend who has wanted to get married for a long time and hasn’t found someone yet.

    I think a post about premarital counseling would be a good idea. It certainly is related to personal finance in at least two ways I can think of. First, you’ll generally discuss your finances with your soon-to-be spouse and that can sort out a lot of issues early on. Second, you’ll have a better chance of avoiding divorce, which can wreak havoc on anyone’s personal finances! It’s not guaranteed, but the counseling helps you become more aware of the issues you’ll need to work on in your marriage and prepare you with some ways to deal with those issues. Thanks for the idea!

    Comment by Paul Williams @ Crackerjack Greenback — December 13, 2008 @ 10:27 am

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